Saturday, October 23, 2010

5 for Sunday

It worked! 2-1-2 in Week 6 using the George Costanza Opposite approach. Good to know that option is always there when you need a rebound week.

KANSAS CITY (-9.5) over Jacksonville
The Chiefs, with the exception of the 4th quarter last week against Houston (which included one of the most bogus pass interference calls you will ever see), have played very good defense this year. Jacksonville just got drubbed at home by Tennessee in front of 27 fans and lost David Garrard to injury, leaving Todd Bouman, who hasn't appeared in an NFL game since 2005, to start. That's all I have to say about that.

BALTIMORE (-13) over Buffalo
The Ravens have emerged 4-2 from a tough first 6 weeks that contained road games at the Jets, Steelers, and Patriots. They should be able to wail away on the poor Bills and head into their bye week. Ed Reed returns off the PUP list for Baltimore and will make Ryan Fitzpatrick's day even more eventful.

Arizona (+6.5) over SEATTLE
Beats me why this line is so high. Both teams are 3-2 in the craptastic NFC West, with Arizona coming off a bye. Seattle has played two very good games at home this year and outweighs Arizona in the most of the stat categories, which may explain how this line opened at 3.5 and has been bet up to 6.5 to this point - but that doesn't mean I have to believe it. I'll take my chances with the Cardinals and hope Larry Fitzgerald gets behind the Seahawk secondary once or twice now that he might have an actual quarterback to play with.

New England (+3) over SAN DIEGO
The Chargers are the Cowboys West. They have a clueless head coach who was born to be a coordinator, a potent offense and very good defense, but are 2-4 because they don't do little things right, turn the ball over, and look past opponents that they are better than. Philip Rivers could throw for 425 yards in this game and somehow the team will manage to score only 17 points. Of course, the questionable status of Antonio Gates and the loss of Malcom Floyd don't help either. By the way, has any team busted more survivor pools in one season than the 2010 Chargers (and we're only in Week 7)?

Oakland (+8) over DENVER
The Broncos played a good game against a good team last week and wound up with a 24-20 loss to the Jets to show for it. They are averaging 311 passing yards per game but a paltry 67 on the ground, while the Raiders give up a respectable 196 passing per game but an embarrassing 149 rushing. In other words, something's got to give, and I'll wager that Kyle Orton continues to come back down to earth after completing just 41% of his passes last week - and having Nnamdi Asomugha control at least a third of the field should help continue that trend. In other news, the Raiders are the leader in the clubhouse for this year's "team I seem to take all the time but am not exactly sure why."

Last Week: 2-1-2
Season: 11-17-2

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